Will Democrats Steal 2024?

Readers:  The brilliant statistician, Seth Keshel, has done it again! He explains, in easy-to-understand terms, the numbers and how Democrats rigged 2020 & how they are likely to rig 2024. They are masters at taking over & completely owning massive urban centers: 18 states “won” by Biden in 2020 are controlled electorally by ONE single county.  For example, Washington is run by King County (Seattle), California is run by Los Angeles County, & Oregon is run by Multnomah County (Portland). [We call these three states “COW” because, when one state comes up with a destructive idea, the other two quickly copy it.]  Democrat strongholds, both states & their flagship counties, do NOT conduct elections reflecting the will of the people: They “win” through a combination of corrupt voter rolls often filled with automatic registration programs (including legal & illegal aliens registering to vote), mass mail-in balloting, widespread muling & ballot harvesting, electronic manipulation, and the abuse of lengthy periods of early voting. I was not able to cross-post Keshel’s article, so I have cut & pasted it into my newsletter format, below.  Diane

Democrats Control 18 States With Just a Single County in Each - Inside the Impact of Urban Election Rigging - 2024 Addendum

CAPT. SETH KESHEL

MAR 15, 2024

Seth’s Note: The first edition of this post went out two springs ago, in the run-up to the 2022 mid-terms.  It was a spin-off of some analysis I had done regarding the electoral threat posed to Texas as its urban centers became sprawling, left-wing hubs of societal doom.  In the following piece, I applied this “sponge mapping” to the entire country and noticed that 18 states won, or “won,” by Joe Biden in 2020’s quasi-election contained a larger margin than all possible Republican margins combined could produce in the state to overtake it in a way that the Lone Star State still has enough frontier to blot out its biggest Democrat counties.

It is clear that election riggers have turned manipulation into a science.  I have repeatedly demonstrated that the major democrat centers were massively inflated in key states, while the massively “red” Republican areas were artificially shaved to generate smaller Trump margins.  After all, there was not enough paper in Philadelphia to give Pennsylvania to Biden without the Lancasters, Lycomings, Yorks, and Westmorelands of the state being rigged, too. 

Democrats are masters at taking over and completely owning massive urban centers.  In fact, 18 states “won” by Democrats in 2020 are controlled electorally by one single county.  This means there is no combination of Republican counties that can combine to overwhelm the Democrat margin for the largest Democrat county, let alone negate any other “blue” county inside the state in focus.  The result is a permanently blue state, like all in New England, which flipped entirely in 1992.

For example:

State X

Largest Democrat County margin (Democrat votes – Republican votes) = 200,000 votes

Republican County 1 = 50,000 votes margin

Republican County 2 = 20,000 votes margin

Republican County 3 = 10,000 votes margin

200,000 votes Democrat margin – 80,000 votes Republican margin = 120,000 votes Democrat margin statewide

The one county’s margin cannot be overcome by all the Republican counties combined.  In the map below, states shaded in light blue are completely run electorally by the county within its boundaries shaded in dark blue.  Each state (with exception of Oklahoma and West Virginia, which have no Democrat counties from 2020) highlights the largest Democrat margin producer in dark blue and shows (in red) the counties needed to negate the margin from the one county.  Notice how many Republican counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are required to take out the largest Democrat margin maker.

Here are the 18 states (with largest county margin) completely controlled for Democrats by the margins in a single county):

California: Los Angeles County (1,883,000)

Oregon: Multnomah County (274,000)

Washington: King County (638,000)

Hawaii: Honolulu County (103,000)

Nevada: Clark County (91,000)

Colorado: Denver County (242,000)

Minnesota: Hennepin County (327,000)

Illinois; Cook County (1,168,000)

Maryland: Prince George’s County (342,000)

Delaware: New Castle County (107,000)

New Jersey: Essex County (191,000)

New York: Manhattan (518,000)

Connecticut: Fairfield County (128,000)

Rhode Island: Providence County (62,000)

Massachusetts: Middlesex County (390,000)

Vermont: Chittenden County (54,000)

New Hampshire: Hillsborough County (18,000)

Maine: Cumberland (69,000)

Five of the six stolen “contested” states – Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia – are all able to overwhelm the most sizable Democrat margin producing counties (Philadelphia, Wayne, Milwaukee, Pima, and DeKalb), but are taken under by shaving in Republican counties and inflation in remaining purple or Democrat counties in the state.

“Safe” Republican states (won by Trump by 10 or more points even in the fraudulent results) have little in the way of Democrat opposition, and the largest “blue” counties require relatively few GOP counties to be neutralized:

Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah.

Three sun belt states won by Trump - Texas, Florida, and North Carolina - require several to many substantially populated and blown out Republican counties to negate Democrat strongholds.  Broward County’s margins require the Republican margins of Lee, Polk, Pasco, Brevard, and Volusia Counties in Florida in order to be negated.  Dallas County, Texas, has a slightly larger margin than Travis County, Texas, and requires many of the largest counties in the state to cancel it out.  The emergence of Dallas, Travis, Bexar, and Harris Counties as Democrat strongholds threatens a “red” Texas and the survival of the nation itself.

Of course, everyone knows the Democrat strongholds, both states and their flagship counties, do not conduct elections reflecting the will of the people.  These margins are achieved through a combination of corrupt voter rolls often filled with automatic registration programs, mass mail-in balloting, widespread muling and ballot harvesting, electronic manipulation, and the abuse of lengthy periods of early voting.

The only way to clean up this crisis is to continue exposing fraud when found, and by pressing for the 10 True Points to Election Integrity.

2024 Addendum

I have been profiling 2024’s electoral college state-by-state for the past three months.  My most recent profile, on Massachusetts, contains links for the other eight states and Washington, D.C., and a clear assessment that the six preceding 2024 Biden-certain states are – you guessed it – dominated by a single county that overwhelms all Republican margins in the state by itself (before even considering other strong Democrat counties, as in the case of Maryland).

In fact, as I scan over the national map above in this article, there are just two states in the 18 Democrat single-county dominant states that I think have any shot whatsoever of going to Trump in 2024 – and those are New Hampshire and Nevada, with the latter most likely thanks to a massive Latino coalition shift taking place throughout the country, and especially the southwest.

This type of analysis is particularly relevant in determining the most likely course of action (MLCOA) by the opponent – who doesn’t have big enough margins in a single county in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, or Wisconsin to put all their eggs into a single county’s basket.  This, in turn, requires diligence on the behalf of the Trump campaign (and other campaigns) to seek to counter, knowing that sloppy election administration of elections is required in Montgomery, Delaware, and Bucks Counties, too, to blot out a massive working-class Republican shift that was evident in 2020 with a 21:1 Republican voter registration trend that is only growing over time.

Arizona is the state most likely to fall into this Democrat trap if things don’t quickly turn around (possibly by 2032), led either by Pima or Maricopa Counties, which together cast 7 out of every 9 votes in statewide elections.  New Mexico, dominated by Bernalillo County (metro Albuquerque), fits the same political profile, but has a more malleable working-class Hispanic vote that will likely prevent a single county from ruling the state, especially since it is not growing anywhere near as fast as its western neighbor is.

CONCLUSION

Modern elections are made up of real, authentic voters who cast authentic ballots, and fraudulent ballots cast either on behalf of real voters who didn’t vote, or entirely fictitious entries on the voter roll.  Team Trump must understand this, particularly in the case of Minnesota, which fits the profile of a Trump state with its massive working-class shift that nearly tipped the state into his hands in 2016 and should have in 2020.  Now, the state’s Democrat trifecta has enshrined all of 2020’s fraudulent practices, making campaigning there a waste of time if your goal is 270 Republican electoral votes.

Since Democrat margins in most states come from just a few counties, or even a single metropolitan area as is the case in Georgia, it makes the most sense to me for Team Trump to spend its time campaigning near the fires of Mordor – that is to say, right in the heart of the Democrat coalition.  That big, beautiful plane should park itself right in the heart of metro Atlanta, where the police sped President Trump through its neighborhoods on the way to making the most famous booking photo of all time.  Taking even 5% of their coalition and making it his will all but cripple any shenanigans that await.  The same case should be made for Philadelphia, Detroit, and Milwaukee – and in an ideal world, a national campaign that gives us photos like this:

How will we know when elections are good to go?  When 50-state campaigns become a thing again. Dream big.